Rampage vs Jones & Gomi vs Diaz UFC135 Thoughts

So I was asked who I'd be taking for the upcoming Rampage vs Jones matchup.

Jon Jones, who is a huge favourite to win has no doubt shown me he is capable of coming into a fight aggressively and can execute a gameplan to win.  He's young, still trying to prove to the masses that he's the real deal  (even with all his wins!) .  UFC is throwing him not just down and out opponents, but tough, fan favourite fighters that should be giving him a test of his skill.  Instead - it seems, that Jones is above them with a skillset that appears almost naturally without thought.

Rampage Jackson, a veteran with a fan base of a celebrity.  His days in Pride still providing him with much needed attention to his toughness.  He rose to the top, stumbled down, and is now trekking back up.  But will Jones stop him in his tracks? As of current, I can't help but think that Rampage isn't as near to his best as he once was.  He came back to snag a win over Lyoto Machida, then a year later take another win off Matt Hamill.  Does that show that he has the capability of taking Jones down?

- Honestly, I like Rampage.  I think if he could just come into this fight as viscous and threatening of a fighter as he was once portrayed, he may be able to pull it off?  With that being said, Rampage being a huge underdog at +375 ... how can I not take that bet?  Rampage needs to engineer the perfect strategy, then needs to implement it without fault.

As the underdog, I'm okay losing a $50 to a Jones-Win (just so long as it's not a split decision) ... but if Rampage could pull off (what oddsmakers believe to be impossible) a convincing win then I'll be good with my $187.50!



As you can obviously see, I also took Takanori Gomi .  For me, this is an obvious underdog bet I cannot refuse.  It has absolutely nothing to do with me having it out for Nate Diaz, but truthfully ... I really don't care for Diaz as an mma fighter.  

nate diaz,  MR. STOCKTON. Is more of a brawler than he is a strategic fighter.  That's where I think he goes wrong.  I don't think he works out a winning gameplan.  Instead I believe his mentality is to just go with the flow.  I was at UFC129 where I watched him get tossed like a rag doll by Rory MacDonald. Fucking Amazing!  Should have been part of the live PPV, but i guess Spike was good enough.  

I've digressed.  Getting back to why I think Gomi will take this.  Although Diaz has bjj - I still think that Gomi will be able to get the takedowns and be a dominating wrestler.  Keep his composure and avoid Diaz's submission attempts.  Standup, Gomi has the knockout power. His cardio could probably do some work but overall Gomi has a good chance here.  Besides, Diaz has once again changed weight classes... 

Floyd Mayweather Jr. to challenge Victor Ortiz

Saturday night is going to be full of aggression!  On one hand it's the dying sport BOXING!! On the other, is the ever so popular UFC!!

While I can't wait to watch both, I'll be focusing my attention on boxing ( and PVRing UFC fight night). 
Mayweather Jr. - who has been on hiatus for over a year - will be challenging Ortiz.  Obviously Ortiz is a huge underdog but what I can't believe is this bet I placed:


I highly doubt this fight will make it past the 9th round.  There's so much each fighter has to prove.  Mayweather Jr. can't afford to lose considering he's supposed to be the toughest contender to not face Pacquiao.  Ortiz nothing to lose and everything to gain if he wins.  Can't leave it to the judges - we all know judges can be bought biased. 

I see it being the first 3 rounds as the most aggressive.  round 4-5-6 we'll see who's got the stamina to keep on and the power to hurt.  rounds 7-8-9 , someone'll be hurt enough where it'll hinder his performance.  There may not be a KO, but i can see a possible technical knockout?  I just don't see how this fight will make it to the final round.  If that would be the case, then shouldn't their odds be better than Ortiz at +550 and Mayweather Jr. at -800?  I don't know,  maybe I'm wrong to think that .. I rarely bet boxing - let alone watch it, but either way, UNDER 11 1/2 Rounds for +150 with two knockout powerhouse boxers in the ring sounds good to me.


NFL Begins!

Can I just say that I am extremely ecstatic that NFL didn't end up in a lockout this season.  To top it off, the season opener : New Orleans vs. Green Bay, was absolutely incredible to watch.

Except for the fact that I lost my first 3 bets!
My NFL bankroll for this season is off to a bad start...  Guess I'll have to do some parlays and try to pull off some big wins this sunday.

And its not like my bets weren't able to win... damn the Packers for getting that final touchdown in the first half! And the Saints offence for running that final play through the middle.

Anyone got suggestions for Sunday?!